: xxi More technically, in the scientific monograph "Silent Risk", Taleb mathematically defines the black swan problem as "stemming from the use of degenerate metaprobability". Such events, considered extreme outliers, collectively play vastly larger roles than regular occurrences. Taleb's "black swan theory" refers only to unexpected events of large magnitude and consequence and their dominant role in history. The psychological biases that blind people, both individually and collectively, to uncertainty and a rare event's massive role in historical affairs.The non-computability of the probability of consequential rare events using scientific methods (owing to the very nature of small probabilities).The disproportionate role of high-profile, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance, and technology.The theory was developed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb to explain: The term is based on an ancient saying that presumed black swans did not exist – a saying that became reinterpreted to teach a different lesson after the first European encounter with them. The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight. Neither this nor the exact reason why the dimensional anomalies from the Chronosphere specifically rendered other air units inoperable is explained.A black swan ( Cygnus atratus) in Australia
Despite the fact that air units are not available, as can be made out from the briefing, Allied Chinooks can be seen flying over the main base on approach to drop infantry on the island with the Chronosphere.Mammoth tank: Cannons replaced with flamethrowers.V2 rocket launcher: Launches nuclear missiles (but with a range of just two cells, effectively making the unit almost equivalent to a Demo Truck).Artillery: Increased range (akin to a Cruiser’s guns).The Soviets have decided to take advantage of the situation and attempt to capture the Chronosphere. A Chronosphere has caused dimensional anomalies in an area, causing both Allied and Soviet weapons to function in strange and unexpected ways.
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